Market Commentary Library

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Ladies and Gents oil muddies the water

The price of oil, which so far has shown surprisingly limited reaction to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, did jump...

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Plenty to focus on for investors

So far, the threat of increased geopolitical tensions has had a limited impact on global equity markets or the oil price. Some...

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Q4, how did we get there so quickly

Stock market porridge is tasting just right; Friday’s US PCE index, as any journalist cannot fail to add, “the Fed’s preferred measure...

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The cup spilith over

The sense of optimism around the globe for stocks was very apparent as we look forward to the final quarter of the...

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Chinese authorities another attempt to boost the flagging economy

Wall Street managed its 41st high this year as the Chinese authorities attempted once again to reignite their economy. One Bloomberg journalist...

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You got to know when to hold them, and know when to fold them

The debate amongst financial journalists has gone from whether it will be 25bp or 50bp, now we know it is 50bp, to...

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Powells cup is more than half full

Jerome Powell’s cup was not half full but overflowing with joy as he described the prospect of inflation heading back down to...

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Its a new dawn a new day and I’m feeling good

We will get the Fed’s decision later today. Will it be 50bp or 25bp? The danger is that whatever the Fed does...

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In a tree by the brook, there’s a songbird who sings,sometimes all of our thoughts are misgiven. Led Zep

Last week’s further fall in the headline US  inflation increased the odds of 50bp. Ahead of their meeting, we get US retail...

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An impressive recovery this week in the US.

The ECB did cut interest rates this week by the anticipated 25 basis points, as Christine Lagarde suggested that, in her view,...

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Retail optimism a cause for concern?

Nerves were possibly calmed at the start of the week as Janet Yellen, the ex-Federal Reserve Chair and now secretary of state...

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This week the ECB, next week the Fed

Irwin Stelzer, writing in the Sunday Times this weekend, sums up the conundrum most investors are currently grappling with. Precisely how resilient...

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I can see the rain on my window pain

A weak US jobs report later today will turn a polite request from some quarters for the Federal Reserve to cut interest...

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The tech love affair being tested

For the start of September, read the start of August. Neither month is traditionally great for stock investors. August started poorly, as...

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A fallen leaf is a summers wave goodbye

The S&P 500 finished the month with a modest gain despite the volatility at the start of the month, the yen carry...

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Don’t look back in anger, I heard you say. Oasis

Summer is drawing to a close; we are now at the end of August. The S&P had its not uncustomary meltdown in...

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After Powell last week, its Nvidia’s turn this

As we return from what was almost a sunny Bank Holiday Monday, stock markets remain buoyed by the confirmation from Jerome Powell...

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The answer my friends is blowing in the wind

The minutes of July’s Fed meeting all but confirm what we already assumed: There will be a cut in US interest rates...

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We can but hope

After eight positive days, markets paused for breath yesterday. Europe took a deeper breath than the US as the FTSE 100 lost...

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Honey we’ve been talking about Jackson

Four weeks of stock market losses were reversed last week, and the S&P 500 had its best week for a couple of...

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What was all the fuss about?

What a couple of weeks, had one been on a desert island and come back, you would have wondered what the fuss...

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Lets face the music and dance

So, last week’s volatility is apparently now well and truly in the rearview mirror. The S&P 500 rose over 1.5% yesterday as...

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A sense of calm returns ahead of a busy week for data

After all that excitement, the S&P 500 closed the week roughly where it started. Some weak manufacturing data and job numbers coming...

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And relax, at least for now

After an eventful week, a sense of calm has descended over global stock markets. As of this morning, the S&P 500 is...

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Opportunities come knocking

A selloff in technology shares has turned into something of a rout for global stocks in the past few days. The latest...

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The times they may be a changin

It was not a good week for stock markets. The world’s economic barometer, the S&P 500, extended its losses of the past...

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Dammed if you did, dammed if you did not

So now we know the Bank of England went for it, voting by a small majority in favour of a cut, and...

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We shall know soon enough

The love affair with this year’s winners is taking a breather. Microsoft joined the list of big tech names that delivered on...

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Not a time to get burned

The holiday season is on its way, and supposedly, the busiest weekend for airline companies is coming up, as many head for...

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The rotation continues

Having had quite an extended period of low volatility and despite what appears overall to be an earnings season that is meeting...

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For such a simple man please tell me what we have learned Supertramp

Earnings season is in full swing, with a myriad of companies reporting yesterday from all walks of life. Defence, technology, logistics, medical,...

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Markets set to open steady as Biden bows out

The past week has seen a general cooling in US markets as the Nasdaq index continues to correct itself. The Vix fear...

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Trump accepts his third nomination

The selloff in tech shares continues; an attempted bounce after a near 3% fall the previous day in the Nasdaq fizzled out...

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And then there were three, maybe

The trend started last week after the better-than-expected CPI data; a flattening of the yield curve as longer rates rose relative to...

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markets remain calm after shocking weekend

The world woke up to the shocking and appalling news that There had been an attempt on Donald Trump’s life. It’s hard...

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Tech takes a knock as value bounces back

After yesterday’s better-than-expected inflation report, the market is now pricing in the near certainty of a US rate cut in September. However,...

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Oh to be in England now that summer is here

Stocks continue to creep higher in the US despite Mr Powell’s non-committal comments on the first day of his two-day testimony. Long...

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A busy week ahead, earnings and inflation the focus and the semi final

So far, the bond and currency markets have taken the news of the changing of the guard at No10 positively. Both sterling,...

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Landslide, mind out below

The UK will not be waking up to much of a shock today; the polls got it spot on as the Labour...

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I said it before and I say it again, watch the bond market.

Americans are 24 hours away from a day off for Independence day, and the Brits from a sweeping change in government, if...

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Politics dominates the headlines

The first half of 2024 has proved another one in which those overweight techs have done well, and those with a more...

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The first half of the year is almost done.

This is the last trading day of the first half of 2024, another year speeding by. In the past six months, economic...