Market Commentary Library

page feautered image
Oil spikes

In the past week, we have seen a series of economic reports, most of which have gone by with barely a raised...

page feautered image
“You’ll find the spot and I’ll find the money”, Blake Shelton

Equity markets continue to edge higher, with the energy sector leading the way as the price of oil shows signs of recovery....

page feautered image
Warm summer wind

Another solid week for stocks, supported by what appears to be a decent jobs report on Friday. The headline number was 139,000...

page feautered image
Equity risk premium has evapourated

An unseemly row between Trump and Musk, along with a series of mixed economic reports, sent US stocks lower on Thursday. Those...

page feautered image
Who said patience is a virtue?

Another decent day for US stocks has seen the Nasdaq return to positive territory for the year, defying what many perceive as...

page feautered image
Those who favour sell in May have their chance

Should you want to sell in May and go away, the past month was the perfect opportunity, as stocks around the globe...

page feautered image
If I could save time in a bottle, The first thing that I’d like to do Is to save every day, Jim Croce time in a bottle

Another month comes to a close, one that has seen a notable rally in global stock markets, with the technology and consumer...

page feautered image
Beer is good, people are crazy

A strong rally in stocks yesterday, following the extended weekend, was driven by improved consumer data and a rally in the bond...

page feautered image
Beauty and the Beast

As President Trump’s ‘Big Beautiful Bill’ passes to the Senate, economists have become more nervous about the size and sustainability of fiscal...

page feautered image
Why do deficits matter?

Wall Street seemed less than bothered by Moody’s downgrade of its government debt rating; neither stocks nor bonds flinched much. To be...

page feautered image
A busy week ahead, equity markets cheer last weeks tariff walk back.

It has been a strong week for stocks as the markets feel comforted by the further de-escalation of the April 2nd Liberation...

page feautered image
Its all a bit of a mixed bag

An unusual event occurred yesterday as the Nasdaq tech index fell, while the S&P 500 gained overall, albeit modestly, as defensive stocks...

page feautered image
Watch the bond market, US stocks may be rising but so are yields.

A week ago, after the announcement of the UK trade deal, he told us, “You better go out and buy stock now,”...

page feautered image
Equity markets remain in limbo, treasury yields rose last week.

US equity markets finished the week where they began, on low trading volumes. One gets the sense that no one trusts the...

page feautered image
Up up and away in my beautiful balloon

Equity markets are either taking time to reflect before their next move, or, more likely, can’t decide which direction to take next....

page feautered image
What next for equity markets

We are already in May, and speculators, punters, and investors are now trying to decide whether the recent rally is a bear...

page feautered image
Sell in May and go away rarely works, but we shall see.

What a difference a few weeks make. Approximately this time last month, Donald Trump stood up in front of the world’s media...

page feautered image
A volatile month draws to a close

The relief rally, if that’s what it is, continues as the S&P 500 notched its sixth consecutive day of gains. We are...

page feautered image
A busy week ahead for earnings and corporates to test last weeks rally.

It was a much better week for equity markets, with the S&P 500 gaining just over 5% in the past week and...

page feautered image
Where to now?

Suddenly, the garden looks quite rosy, as US stock markets have regained 10% of the losses from the lows of a few...

page feautered image
Back to the chaos

After an extended  Easter break in the UK, we are back to the same uncertainty we have had for the past few...

page feautered image
Enjoy Easter, the weather forecast is improving fingers crossed

Global stock indices have retained most of their recent gains, even with the uncertainty surrounding tariffs still affecting investor sentiment. According to...

page feautered image
The bulls are back in charge, for now at least.

After a week where Mr Trump found out who is actually the boss, its the bond market, this week is starting where...

page feautered image
When the thunderstorms pass eventually the sun comes out.

Markets 1 Donald 0; as is always the case, the market wins after a roller-coaster week. The rise in 10-year treasury yields...

page feautered image
How this resolves itself is hard to know, but it will.

A faint hope that Trump would offer some reprieve at the last minute led to a relief rally at the start of...

page feautered image
As Dickens said the worst of times is the best of times

Those waking up this morning hoping for some good news, some signs that parties were looking to compromise or negotiate, will be...

page feautered image
Liberation day turned into obliteration day.

In one sense, the new administration achieved what they set out to do: the dollar and oil were down, the cost to...

page feautered image
Liberation Day brace yourself

We indicated on Monday that a bounce from the oversold levels the US equity market had reached was on the cards, so...

page feautered image
April showers they say, it can also bring sunshine

Wall Street finished the week in a bad mood. A combination of a weak consumer report and the core Personal Consumption Expenditures price index...

page feautered image
Oh to be in England now that Aprils here

How quickly has the conclusion of the first quarter come about? It is one that has not panned out as many expected...

page feautered image
Borrowing costs in the UK continue to rise

Do you want the good news or the bad news? The good news was that the monthly US services Purchasing Manager Survey...

page feautered image
Wil Rachael test her Golden Rule

This week, Rachael Reeves will deliver her sprig statement, in which she will attempt to find a way to follow Gordon Brown’s...

page feautered image
Rates unchanged despite growth uncertainties

Despite concerns expressed by the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve about the underlying strength of their own and the broader...

page feautered image
Tickets please all change

For many, the pain trade continues as US stocks, particularly technology stocks, seek support, while Stocks in Europe, especially German ones, find...

page feautered image
Light in your head and dead on your feet, another crazy day

US stocks had a decent bounce on Friday after a torrid week for stockholders, or more precisely, about 4 weeks. The fall...

page feautered image
Beware the ides of March

The financial headlines today are all about the S&P 500 having another down day yesterday and, as a result, entering correction territory,...

page feautered image
The bargain store is open, can you afford the price? Apologies to Dolly P

The optimism that greeted the new administration a few months ago, known as the Trump bump, has faded into a damp squib...

page feautered image
Last week was about jobs this week is about inflation.

After a volatile week, which saw the US markets have their worst week in 6 months, it felt that a bounce in...

page feautered image
“The only thing that makes life possible is permanent, intolerable uncertainty: not knowing what comes next.”

This has not been much of a week for bond or equity investors.  German bund yields rose dramatically as the new government...

page feautered image
Is any one else suffering from hayfever?

It’s been a bad start to March for stocks, as Trump’s tariff threats have put the skids under stocks and the “safe...

page feautered image
Lets March on

It was a better end to a month that saw most of the gains for the year for US stocks given back...

page feautered image
It all feels a little flat

According to Nvidia’s CEO, demand is “amazing.” That may be so, but demand for the shares is waning, as the stock fell...