Market Commentary Library

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The themes that dominated the month continue into month end

Most of the themes that have dominated the month seem to continue right up to the month’s end. A perfectly acceptable set...

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IBM becomes the latest victim of the AI scare trade

US stocks got the Monday blues again, perm any one of several reasons. Fears over AI spending were reignited after Mike Burry,...

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The Supreme Court ruled against Trump, he did not take it well.

What a headache has been created: On Friday, the Supreme Court ruled that tariffs were illegal and that Trump overstepped his authority...

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The Fed on hold for now

The minutes from the January Fed meeting indicated a reluctance, on balance, to sanction further interest rate cuts, with inflation remaining ahead...

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ITs a funny old world

The Empire State Manufacturing Index fell to 7.1, indicating that manufacturing activity continued to expand modestly in New York State and that...

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Another eventful week to look forward to

The news on Friday that consumer price inflation was lower than market expectations added to hopes that the Federal Reserve will have...

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Another British institution heads across the pond

Where to start today’s missive? Firstly, Schroders is a British Merchant bank steeped in history, one traditionally with close connections to the...

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Add value to my day

I have a good friend who, when I occasionally met him at the end of the day and sat down with him,...

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Mac and Coke to go please

What a week that was, what a start to the year for portfolio managers, one that clearly demonstrates the benefits of a...

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Up the stairs and down the elevator

The stock market is never dull, and the start to this year has been more entertaining than most. The S&P 500 may...

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The Genie’s out of the bottle

Anything whose business model the market fears AI could disrupt had already been under the cosh in the past year and took...

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The precious metal sell off seems to have led to a broader reaction

Confirmation of Warsh as the next chairman of the Fed was the excuse for the dollar to appreciate and for gold, precious...

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Is Blackrock giving us warning signs for private credit

Picking up the paper this morning, if you had been away from your screen for most of yesterday, one would have thought...

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All a gambler needs is a suitcase and a trunk, House of the rising sun.

So the first month goes, so the year goes, so they say. If that’s the case, we could be in for an...

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Churn’en and Burnham

US equity markets managed to finish the week close to where they started, fending off the potential resurgence of new tariffs sparked...

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The storm passes

Trump claims victory over his demands regarding Greenland, as he backs away from his tariff threats. Equity markets showed a sigh of...

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The sea still feels a little choppy

Wall Street returned from the Martin Luther King holiday, catching up on events over the last couple of days. We had been...

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Buckle up we may be in for some turbulence

I don’t think it will come as much of a surprise to those who follow stock markets that global indexes are heading...

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Caveat emptor

The 2nd full trading week of the year comes to an end, and after a bit of a wobble in the middle...

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Pour me something tall and strong its 5oclock somewhere, Alan Jackson

We have had a bit of everything this week, starting with JP Morgan’s earnings report, kicking off the 4th-quarter earnings season, then...

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Plenty of bricks in the coming week.

Last week, the latest labour market data for the US continued to indicate a certain amount of weakness, not disastrous, in jobs....

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Bullish sentiment remains, earnings season starts next week.

Stock markets around the globe have started the first week about ok, it just feels that major indexes are running out of...

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Equity markets continue to press on

There is much debate about the rights and wrongs of Trump’s actions to depose the Maduro regime, which I am not going...

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Trump arrests Madura, the potential implications

Equity markets had a solid 1st day of 2026; indeed, the FTSE 100 passed 10000 for the first time in history, reminding...

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Stocks strt the year in a positive mood

 The final few days of 2025 were relatively uneventful for capital markets. Most asset classes had a pretty good 2025 in the...

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I think its fair to say portfolio managers are positive heading into next year

Whilst writing this blog, watching Australia bat getting over 300, let’s hope the English batsmen can keep the series alive. Santa’s reliable...

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It the Bank of Englands turn this week

The traditional Yuletide rally is struggling a bit as the tech sector, in particular, had a poor end to the week. At...

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The Fed cut as expected and paint a pretty picture for the year ahead.

It was a weird outcome at the Fed meeting: as expected, the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points whilst delivering...

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“I have learned from my mistakes, and I am sure I can repeat them exactly” Peter Cook

” Not only, but also” was the title of a comedy show featuring Peter Cook and Dudley Moore in the late 1960s....

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Oh yes they will, oh no they won’t

Friday’s reading of the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure, the Personal Consumption Expenditures index, which excludes food and energy, came pretty much...

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Today US inflation as the PMI’s suggest a resilient global economy

September’s Personal and Consumption Expenditure Index, out later today, will be the last piece in the Fed’s interest rate jigsaw puzzle. Anything...

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The monthly PCE report ahead of the Fed next week, two hurdles into the year end

Monday provided a dull start to what is traditionally a decent month for equities. After a sluggish start on Tuesday, equity markets...

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And so its Christmas, well very nearly any way

A big Thanksgiving rally saved the month from being one of the worst for equities since the April tariff fallout. In the...

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Thankgoodness thats over with

The budget is past us, despite the OBR’s error; most of what was going to be announced had already been leaked to...

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Reeves to put her stamp of authority, watch the bond market and sterlings reaction.

Stocks rose yesterday, as they do almost without fail, the week into Thanksgiving. It’s been quite a recovery for the S&P 500...

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Its budget week

The week we have all been waiting for in the UK, Rachel Reeves’ budget on Wednesday. The last attempt was over a...

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A roller coaster of a day

Initially, everything happened pretty much as one would expect in stock markets post the Nvidia numbers. After a 15% correction to the...

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Market sentiment continues to weaken

As of last night’s close, we have had a near 5% correction in the S&P 500 and an over 6% correction in...

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Companies House Director ID Rules: Identity Verification requirements explained and how Frank Investments can help

From 18 November 2025, all company directors and persons of significant control (PSCs) must complete identity verification with Companies House, before they...

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Milkshakes the flavour of the day.

A volatile week for stocks and bonds, as US indexes experienced their largest losses in a month. There was a partial recovery...

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Fear and greed two sides of the same coin

The bears rode into town again on Thursday. I blame the Federal Reserve; actually, I don’t, but everyone else in the financial...

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Wednesdays child is full of woe.

An interesting article in yesterday’s Financial Times suggests that fixed-income investors are becoming more discerning when allocating investments into the new digital...