Market Commentary Library

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Theres a lot going on this week, buckle up

Despite the ceasefire still in place, over the weekend, foreign ships came under Iranian fire, and US forces seized an Iranian ship....

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Whats new pussy cat

Almost every economic commentary you listen to or read has the conflict in Iran as its headline, I guess with good reason,...

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Nasdaq up for 10 straight days.

It would appear that stock markets have shrugged off the fears of March and, once again, are happy to climb the wall...

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The deal is no deal, for now at least.

The hope that the worst of the conflict may be behind us helped stocks and bonds stage a decent recovery last week....

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Markets hang onto the gains

Experience tells me to be wary of a rally such as the one that took place on Wednesday, post the announcement of...

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And I believe it could be, Something good has began. Bob Dylan

And we are back after the Easter break. Yesterday, we woke to the threats of the demolition of a civilisation never to...

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Happy Easter everyone

As we embark on a new month and quarter, the past 3 months have been a tale of two halves: the first...

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Stock traders have become oil price watchers

Anyone watching Landman, a gritty Paramount series about the lives of modern oil prospectors. At the start of Episode 10 of Series...

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Ouch that hurts

Yesterday, back to stocks down and oil up, trying to trade the commentary coming from all quarters on a daily basis is...

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Know when to hold and when to fold

 TACO man may be starting to twitch, which is a good thing. The one thing Trump does not like to see, like...

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Equity and bond investors continue to fear the worst.

There seems to be little one can add at these times; stock markets continue to react to the ongoing threat between America...

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Central Banks have no more of a clue than we do

 You can hardly turn a page of a newspaper (for those who still read the printed word) or watch a news channel...

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Central Banks will be in wait and see mode

Stock markets are at the beck and call of oil prices; was ever thus. If oil stays around $100 a barrel, where...

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This week, we get to hear what the Central Banks think of the events of the past weeks.

Understandably, the weekend press was dominated, almost to the exclusion of anything else, by the events in the Middle East. The fact...

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Commodity prices remains the focus

The ongoing conflict continues to drive stocks and bonds lower and oil prices higher, despite efforts to the contrary. The IEA’s announcement...

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Trump says its all over,

On Monday, Trump declared, ” The war is almost complete, despite Pete Hegseth’s warning that Tuesday and Wednesday would see the most...

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Oil spikes up stocks tumble down where have we seen that before?

Only one thing matters when it comes to stock markets and geopolitics: what is the impact on the oil price? As we...

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Its all rotating back again.

There is a fairly consensual view among market commentators on the potential impact of this geopolitical shock on markets, but it’s hard...

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Patience is a virtue

Part of the reason I spend so much of my time writing these blogs is to put my experiences in words so...

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Capital markets react to the news

Geopolitics will be the name of the stock market game for the coming days as America and Israel follow up on their...

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The themes that dominated the month continue into month end

Most of the themes that have dominated the month seem to continue right up to the month’s end. A perfectly acceptable set...

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IBM becomes the latest victim of the AI scare trade

US stocks got the Monday blues again, perm any one of several reasons. Fears over AI spending were reignited after Mike Burry,...

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The Supreme Court ruled against Trump, he did not take it well.

What a headache has been created: On Friday, the Supreme Court ruled that tariffs were illegal and that Trump overstepped his authority...

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The Fed on hold for now

The minutes from the January Fed meeting indicated a reluctance, on balance, to sanction further interest rate cuts, with inflation remaining ahead...

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ITs a funny old world

The Empire State Manufacturing Index fell to 7.1, indicating that manufacturing activity continued to expand modestly in New York State and that...

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Another eventful week to look forward to

The news on Friday that consumer price inflation was lower than market expectations added to hopes that the Federal Reserve will have...

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Another British institution heads across the pond

Where to start today’s missive? Firstly, Schroders is a British Merchant bank steeped in history, one traditionally with close connections to the...

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Add value to my day

I have a good friend who, when I occasionally met him at the end of the day and sat down with him,...

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Mac and Coke to go please

What a week that was, what a start to the year for portfolio managers, one that clearly demonstrates the benefits of a...

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Up the stairs and down the elevator

The stock market is never dull, and the start to this year has been more entertaining than most. The S&P 500 may...

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The Genie’s out of the bottle

Anything whose business model the market fears AI could disrupt had already been under the cosh in the past year and took...

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The precious metal sell off seems to have led to a broader reaction

Confirmation of Warsh as the next chairman of the Fed was the excuse for the dollar to appreciate and for gold, precious...

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Is Blackrock giving us warning signs for private credit

Picking up the paper this morning, if you had been away from your screen for most of yesterday, one would have thought...

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All a gambler needs is a suitcase and a trunk, House of the rising sun.

So the first month goes, so the year goes, so they say. If that’s the case, we could be in for an...

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Churn’en and Burnham

US equity markets managed to finish the week close to where they started, fending off the potential resurgence of new tariffs sparked...

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The storm passes

Trump claims victory over his demands regarding Greenland, as he backs away from his tariff threats. Equity markets showed a sigh of...

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The sea still feels a little choppy

Wall Street returned from the Martin Luther King holiday, catching up on events over the last couple of days. We had been...

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Buckle up we may be in for some turbulence

I don’t think it will come as much of a surprise to those who follow stock markets that global indexes are heading...

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Caveat emptor

The 2nd full trading week of the year comes to an end, and after a bit of a wobble in the middle...

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Pour me something tall and strong its 5oclock somewhere, Alan Jackson

We have had a bit of everything this week, starting with JP Morgan’s earnings report, kicking off the 4th-quarter earnings season, then...

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Plenty of bricks in the coming week.

Last week, the latest labour market data for the US continued to indicate a certain amount of weakness, not disastrous, in jobs....

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Bullish sentiment remains, earnings season starts next week.

Stock markets around the globe have started the first week about ok, it just feels that major indexes are running out of...